GIRI THE GALLIVANTER

 + December is here and it's time for Disaster  Depressions. A line of cyclonic depression are ahead for us!!   + We use to say The KingMaker MJO, and it is proven once again!!  Image Credits : Meteologix

300mm+ Rainfall In No Time of 2 Days, Highly Possible!! ⛈️ 🌪️  + The most anticipated system is expected to form tomorrow in Bay of Bengal.   + Global models have come into agreement with the system track and rainfall. 

KTC Thunderstorms Today | Tamilnadu Ends With 60% Excess Rains | Kerala Flood Hazard :  + Due to wind instability prevailing at mid-levels, Thunderstorms are set to continue in KTC, Vellore, Ranipet, Villupuram today as well. Image Credits : Meteoblue  + Wind Instability would provide an atmosphere conductive for thunderstorms. + Apart from Wind Instability, some of the environmental criterias are too supportive as well, for thunderstorm this evening / night.   + The CAPE (Convectional Available Potential Energy) value near KTC region during late evening- night is over than 2000-2500J/kg.  + CAPE energy is like fuel for thunderstorms to intensify.  Image Credits : Meteoblue  + Lifted index well ranging from -4 to -7 and this should be adequate enough for intensification of thunderstorms while nearing the coasts.   + Lifted index is generally used to measure instability in the atmosphere to determine the thunderstorm...

ALERT - Severe Heat Wave Across Tamil Nadu!!  + Formation of Cyclone in Bay of Bengal by start of May 2nd week. System is expected to landfall near Bangladesh / Myanmar.   + This will suck all the moisture in the land across the Southern States of India and make the atmosphere more dry. Image Credits : TropicalTidBits-GFS-India  + Therefore, Severe Heat wave across Southern States of India like Tamilnadu, Andhra and Odissa.   + Coastal districts are going to be sandwiched with severe heat waves both from the sea and land.   + Chennai should start prepare for it from April 30, as many 40+ temperatures possible for North and Delta Tamilnadu. Image Credits : EarthNullSchool  + Kongu belt and south interior Tamilnadu will get isolated heavy rains from Saturday dur to pull effect.   + Westerlies will strengthen and keep temperature in check for west interior TN districts, especially during evening - night hour's.   ...

TN's 1st System of 2022 & 15th Overall In The History of March Month : + Late Feb / March is not the time to track disturbances in the Bay.   + But, it's time for that as, nature can surprise at times. A good distraction during off-season.  + Both GFS and ECM indicating formation of a system in the Bay of Bengal and heavy rain from Mar 03-06 in and around Central Coastal TN and Delta Districts.  Image Credits : TropicalTidBits-GFS-India  + Heavy Rains possible btw 04-06 Mar, 2022 :  Coastal Districts From Pondy to Rameshwaram. Interior Delta Districts like Thanjavur, Trichy etc. South Interior District like Nellai etc. Eastern sides of The Western Ghats of Tamilnadu like Pollachi, Valparai, Kodaikanal, Manjolai.etc.  + Chennai should receive light to moderate rain spells from this system between 04( From Evening) - 06 Mar (Noon), as the landfall still indicates over Sri Lanka / btw Central - South TN (Near Pondy).  ...