(Scroll down for 23rd June, 2020 Update) * Update as on 21st June, 2020 :
KTCC Update :
Next Spell.?
Image Source : Earthnullschool
* Convergence is set to happen from tomorrow (21st June) post noon, along South AP Coast.
* Therefore, our next rain spell will be by tonight (post 10pm) and this will be covering all parts of KTCC with thunderstorms.
* Especially, it's time to hear dammal dummil sound after a long time for Chennai people.
* The formation near Bangalore-Hosur and South Interior AP, will be travelling along side of Chennai-Bangalore Highways and cross KTCC (due to convergence).
------- Update as on 23rd June, 2020 -------
MJO is back.?
* There is a little indication of re-newed MJO activity.
* It's time to say good bye to >35°C after this Wednesday in KTCC districts.
* The position of this re-newed MJO is straight along the latitude line of Chennai.
Image Source :
Madden-Julian Oscillation : CPC-NCEP-NOAA
* In the above image, we can see the intensing area in Bay of Bengal near Chennai Coast.
* There isn't much strength at the start of this reactivation, but something is better than nothing. Something which will reduce the temperature atleast and give some one or two spells in regular basis (in the evening / night).
* South AP and North TN will be seeing reduce in day as well as night temperature from this tomorrow.
* This will continue for a two weeks atleast (as June 1st week too looking good for us. But it's too soon to have a permanent believe in it. Let us hope for the best).
* 2 weeks of less temperature with regular evening / night rains can be guaranteed for now for both North AP and South TN people.
* Probability for the formation of cyclone is nil till this month end.
* June 1st week looking too good, as the MJO is looking to get some key and we can expect atleast a low or depression system to form in the bay
* In presise, reduce in temperature for next 20 days. June 1st week system formation or massive thunderstorms to occur for KTCC.
Current Weak MJO Position and Details : mjo.pdf
Expected temperature in Chennai, as per meteoblue's multiple weather model comparison's :
Image Source : Meteoblue
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